Input-driven probability tool
Compare two banners without guessing
Copy the current values from each live banner panel. The calculator keeps a reserve, converts currency into pulls, and compares the chance of seeing at least one exact target before your stop-loss.
Before the first pull
A five-step summon workflow
- 01
Claim before spending
Finish the current Beginner Path steps and redeem verified codes before treating your gem balance as final.
- 02
Name the team gap
Choose damage, economy, support or control first. A featured unit is valuable only when its kit solves that specific gap.
- 03
Read the live rate panel
Record effective cost per pull, the exact target probability, counter scope, expiration and whether pity carries. Do not substitute a rarity rate for a unit rate.
- 04
Keep a reserve
Protect enough flexible currency for the next account need or a later banner. The calculator removes that reserve before it counts affordable pulls.
- 05
Set the stop before pulling
Decide the maximum spend and acceptable intermediate outcome in advance. Recalculate after an early hit or a counter reset.
Start with the current code table, diagnose the missing role in the team builder, and compare the candidate's actual kit in the unit finder.
Calculator method
What the probability means
For an exact target rate p and n affordable pulls, the natural chance of seeing at least one copy is 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ. A 1% target rate over 100 independent pulls is about 63.4%, not 100%.
The result becomes 100% only when the budget reaches the displayed counter and you explicitly confirm that it guarantees the same exact target. Rarity-only pity does not become a fabricated unit guarantee.
The math leader compares only modeled exact-target probability after the same reserve. Pool quality, banner expiration and counter carry-over remain live decisions.
Evidence ledger
Confirmed facts and deliberate omissions
Expeditions Entertainment: The verified Roblox listing confirms that summoning units is part of the game loop, but it does not publish permanent banner rates, costs or pity rules.
GAMES.GG · Pro Game Guides: GAMES.GG's July 16 EA+ launch report lists a Farm Unit, Mythic Unit and exclusive Beginner Banner as Beginner Path rewards. Treat that list as a release snapshot, not a permanent banner rule. Pro Game Guides independently confirms that current codes supply Gems and summon-adjacent resources.
Competitors publish conflicting Standard, Mini and Beginner pity claims. We therefore prefill no rate, cost, pity, rotation or carry-over behavior: copy those values from the live banner before calculating.
Decision rules
Three ways to avoid a bad banner decision
Compare exact units
A high Mythic rate can still hide a low chance for the one unit you need. Use the target's displayed rate, not the whole rarity.
Price the guarantee
If the remaining counter costs more than your spendable balance, see the exact gap before starting.
Re-evaluate after a hit
An early target, useful support or counter reset changes the decision. Stop and calculate again.
Frequently asked questions
What is the Anime Expeditions Mythic pity?+
This page does not publish one fixed number because reliable sources do not establish a complete permanent pity table. Read the current banner and enter its displayed counter.
Does a Mythic guarantee give me the featured unit?+
Not necessarily. Treat it as an exact-target guarantee only when the live rules explicitly promise the specific outcome you entered.
Should I use Beginner Banner first?+
Complete Beginner Path and inspect its exclusive banner before spending flexible Gems elsewhere. Current costs and rules still belong to the live UI.
How does the probability calculator work?+
It converts currency after reserve into affordable pulls and uses 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ. A reachable exact-target guarantee overrides the modeled chance to 100%.
Should I choose the banner with the highest probability?+
Only if its target solves a real account need. Pool quality, role, expiration and opportunity cost can outweigh a small probability advantage.
Does this calculator save my data?+
No. The calculation runs in the current browser page and does not send your inputs to the site.
