Input-driven probability tool
Compare two banners without guessing
Copy the current values from each live banner panel. The calculator keeps a reserve, converts currency into pulls, and compares the chance of seeing at least one exact target before your stop-loss.
Before the first pull
A five-step summon workflow
- 01
Claim before spending
Finish the current Beginner Path steps and redeem verified codes before treating your gem balance as final.
- 02
Name the team gap
Choose damage, economy, support or control first. A featured unit is valuable only when its kit solves that specific gap.
- 03
Read the live rate panel
Record effective cost per pull, the exact target probability, counter scope, expiration and whether pity carries. Do not substitute a rarity rate for a unit rate.
- 04
Keep a reserve
Protect enough flexible currency for the next account need or a later banner. The calculator removes that reserve before it counts affordable pulls.
- 05
Set the stop before pulling
Decide the maximum spend and acceptable intermediate outcome in advance. Recalculate after an early hit or a counter reset.
Start with the current code table, diagnose the missing role in the team builder, and compare the candidate's actual kit in the unit finder.
Calculator method
What the probability means
For an exact target rate p and n affordable pulls, the natural chance of seeing at least one copy is 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ. A 1% target rate over 100 independent pulls is about 63.4%, not 100%.
The calculator changes the result to 100% only when the entered budget reaches the displayed counter and you explicitly confirm that counter guarantees the same exact target. Rarity-only pity remains a useful milestone, but it does not become a fabricated unit guarantee.
“Math leader” compares only modeled exact-target probability after the same reserve. It cannot know which pool improves your account, whether a banner expires, whether counters carry, or whether a multi has special rules. Those remain live-panel and team-fit decisions.
Evidence ledger
Confirmed facts and deliberate omissions
The verified Roblox listing by Expeditions Entertainment confirms that summoning units is part of the game loop. It does not publish permanent banner rates, costs or pity rules.
Eliza Crichton-Stuart's GAMES.GG EA+ release report says the Beginner Path guarantees a Farm Unit and Mythic Unit on completion and gives access to an exclusive Beginner Banner. Ana Mitic's Pro Game Guides code tracker independently confirms that current codes supply Gems and other summon-adjacent resources.
Search competitors currently publish conflicting Standard, Mini and Beginner pity claims. Because the reliable sources above do not establish one complete current rule set, this site deliberately pre-fills no rate, cost, pity, rotation interval or carry-over behavior. Copy those values from the live banner information before calculating.
Decision rules
Three ways to avoid a bad banner decision
Compare exact units
A high Mythic rate can still hide a low chance for the one unit you need. Use the target's displayed rate, not the whole rarity.
Price the guarantee
If the remaining counter costs more than the spendable balance, see the exact gap before starting instead of hoping the reserve will survive.
Re-evaluate after a hit
An early target, a useful support or a counter reset changes the decision. Stop and calculate again rather than finishing the original budget automatically.
Frequently asked questions
What is the Anime Expeditions Mythic pity?+
This page does not publish one fixed number because the official listing and reliable release sources used here do not establish a complete permanent pity table. Read the current banner information and enter the displayed counter.
Does a Mythic guarantee give me the featured unit?+
Not necessarily. A rarity guarantee can award any eligible Mythic. Treat it as an exact-target guarantee only when the live rules explicitly promise the specific outcome you entered.
Should I use Beginner Banner first?+
Complete Beginner Path and inspect its exclusive Beginner Banner before spending flexible Gems elsewhere. The EA+ report confirms the path's Farm Unit, Mythic Unit and Banner access, but current costs and rules still belong to the live UI.
How does the summon probability calculator work?+
It converts currency after reserve into affordable pulls and uses 1 − (1 − p)^n for at least one exact target. A reachable exact-target guarantee overrides that modeled chance to 100%.
Should I choose the banner with the highest probability?+
Only if the target also solves a real account need. Pool quality, unit role, expiration, pity carry-over and future opportunity cost can outweigh a small probability advantage.
Does this calculator save my banner or currency data?+
No. The calculation runs in the current browser page and does not send your inputs to the site.